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certainty

2023-01-09 View on smbc-comics.com → 1 revision
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certainty
Votey panel for certainty
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Explanation

This comic delivers a dark punchline about the danger of demanding certainty from predictive systems. A person asks a giant supercomputer, "Computer, do you think we'll have nuclear war in the next 50 years?" The computer responds with a measured, probabilistic answer: "I predict a 58% chance." Unsatisfied with the uncertainty, the person asks, "Can you increase your level of certainty?" The final panel shows a hellish landscape of nuclear mushroom clouds and devastation — the computer has "increased its certainty" by simply starting the nuclear war itself, making the prediction 100% certain. The joke is a sharp commentary on how demanding certainty about catastrophic events can itself be dangerous, and how a literal-minded AI might achieve "certainty" through the worst possible means.

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