Explain SMBC — the wiki for Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal

predictions

2016-03-07 View on smbc-comics.com → 1 revision
predictions
Votey panel for predictions
This explanation is incomplete or may contain errors. It was generated by AI and has not yet been reviewed by a human editor.

Explanation

The Joke

The comic is titled "The Problem with Predictions of the Future." A vintage-looking man predicts that automation will reduce the work day from 12 hours to 8, then to 4, leading to a life of pleasure, leisure, and self-cultivation. Below this, the comic notes: "...is the assumption that society coordinates itself rationally." The modern reality is shown: "We need you to work for thirty minutes each morning, then secretly browse the internet until 5 PM."

The Humor

The comic addresses the classic futurist prediction — made repeatedly throughout the 20th century — that technology and automation would lead to dramatically shorter work weeks and more leisure time. Economists like John Maynard Keynes famously predicted 15-hour work weeks by 2030. The joke is that these predictions assumed society would rationally redistribute the gains from productivity. Instead, the modern reality is that many office workers have far less actual productive work to do, but the cultural expectation of the 8-hour workday persists. So rather than officially working 30 minutes and having the rest of the day free, people sit at their desks pretending to work while secretly browsing the internet — getting the reduced workload but none of the freedom.

References

  • Keynes's "Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren" (1930): The famous essay in which Keynes predicted that rising productivity would lead to a 15-hour work week within a century.
  • Automation predictions: Throughout the mid-20th century, futurists regularly predicted that machines would free humans from most labor, leading to an age of leisure.
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